XRP: towards new horizons after the breakout of July 2025

In the middle of July 2025, XRP gained the spotlight in the crypto markets. The SEC’s decision to approve an XRP futures ETF (ProShares Ultra, listed on NYSE Arca from July 18) acted as a lever for significant bull movements, while the legal case against Ripple seems headed for a favorable resolution. It is the cherry on top of a cake that includes increasing volumes, a solid technical trend, and expanding on‑chain activity.

Summary

• What positive thing happened for the price of XRP?
• What do the technical indicators say?
• Operational Outlook on the Price of XRP
• Risks and roadmap
• Strategic Summary
• Narrative Conclusion

What positive thing happened for the price of XRP?

In the days leading up to July 16, XRP moved within a range between 2.82 and 2.93 USD, with closures around 2.89 USD. These oscillate around a pattern of “higher lows,” a signal of accumulation by more sophisticated operators. The breakout above the 3 USD threshold — supported by volumes exceeding 170 million dollars — confirmed the turnaround, projecting the current price towards the 3.40–3.60 USD area.

Simultaneously, high trading volumes at key levels such as 2.84–2.85 USD explain the institutional commitment: “whale” wallets and treasury desks are increasing their exposure.

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What do the technical indicators say?

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• RSI daily around 70–73: indicates overbought, but in a context of strong bull momentum.
• MACD positive and expanding, without immediate divergences: confirms the strength of the trend.
• Bollinger Bands: the price has crossed the upper band, a sign of increasing volatility — often followed by consolidation phases.
• Volume: sustained and above the weekly average, often accompanied by spikes at the time of breakouts

Operational Outlook on the Price of XRP

• Confirmed breakout: daily close above 3.05–3.10 USD with high volumes opens a window towards 3.40–3.60 USD; subsequently, the 4.00–4.50 USD area becomes the new target.
• Critical supports: initial support zone at 2.95 USD, more robust support between 2.84–2.86 USD (EMA20). A breakdown below these levels could trigger a pullback towards 2.70 USD.
• Pattern in gioco: from the ascending triangle to the wedge, up to the inverse head-and-shoulders, the technical figures all converge towards a price explosion — technicians estimate potentials between 60% and 70% more than the current levels, with targets between 4.47 and 5–7 USD.

Risks and roadmap

1. RSI overbought → possible consolidation towards 3.00–2.85 USD.
2. High volatility → ETF futures and rumors about the SEC lawsuit can generate rapid swings.
3. Regulatory news: next week could reveal decisive developments, such as a possible closure of the case or the green light for a spot ETF — potential “make or break” moments

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Strategic Summary

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Horizon Entry Stop-loss Target Short Close daily > 3.05 USD with volumes < 2.95 USD 3.40 → 3.60 USD Medium Consolidation above 3.00 USD < 2.86 USD 4.00 → 4.80–5.00 USD Long Gradual purchases between 3.00–3.20 USD < 2.70 USD 5–7 USD (ETF/regulatory spin-off)

Narrative Conclusion

XRP is experiencing a crucial phase: the implications of a legitimized futures ETF and a resolution of the SEC lawsuit are finally placing the token in a more solid institutional framework.

At a technical level, the breakout above 3 USD, supported by significant volumes, outlines a trajectory that can lead towards ambitious targets (3.60, 4.00, over 5 USD). However, the risks — overbought RSI, regulatory news, intraday volatility — remain present. For this reason, a disciplined strategy (“breakout + confirmation + risk management”) is the most suitable to navigate this phase.

• No financial advice (NFA): this article is for informational purposes only, it does not constitute an invitation to purchase or invest.

DYOR (Do Your Own Research) — always conduct your own checks on indicators, market conditions, and risks before making decisions.

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