Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Drops to Critical Area but is $1.5K in Play?

Ethereum is facing strong downward pressure after losing its bullish grip near the $2,900 mark earlier this month. The broader market downturn, combined with rising liquidation activity and a weakening technical structure, has pushed ETH back below critical levels.

Both price action and on-chain metrics suggest a cautious outlook in the short term, with the next few sessions likely to determine whether ETH stabilizes or heads for deeper corrections.

Ethereum Price Analysis: Technicals

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

The daily chart shows a clear bearish breakdown from an ascending channel that had been developing since early May.

This pattern played out with high precision, sending ETH down from nearly $2,900 to just above $2,200 within a few days. The price tapped into the large Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone between $1,900–$2,200, where some buyers stepped in. However, despite the wick into the FVG and the bounce from the 200-day moving average, momentum remains weak.

The 100-day moving average, located around the $2,200 mark, is also acting as support. Yet, the rejection from the 200-day MA around the $2,600 mark reinforces the idea that sellers are in control.

Moreover, the RSI is currently around 35, not yet oversold but hovering near critical territory. If the mentioned FVG fails to hold, the next major support zone lies at $1,500, a level that previously served as the base for the April rally. Therefore, the buyers will need to see a reclaim of the 200-day moving average followed by strong volume to consider any meaningful bullish continuation.

The 4-Hour Chart

Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, ETH has been in a steady downtrend since losing the ascending channel support earlier this month. After breaking down, the price retested the lower boundary of the channel and failed to reclaim it, leading to a swift drop toward the $2,100 area. This level has provided temporary relief, but the bounce appears weak and corrective.

There is a visible bearish structure forming with lower highs and lower lows. The RSI on this timeframe is around 34, echoing the bearish momentum and lack of strength in bullish attempts. Unless Ethereum can recover above $2,300 and hold that level as new support, the current selling pressure could lead to another leg down toward the $2,000 level. If the selloff intensifies, the next significant demand zone lies near $1,800.

Sentiment Analysis

Ethereum Long Liquidations

The liquidation chart reveals a massive spike in long liquidations over the past few days, corresponding with Ethereum’s aggressive move down to $2,200. This uptick indicates that many late long positions entered around the $2,600–$2,800 levels were wiped out during this drop.

These liquidations can temporarily exaggerate downside movements, especially in highly leveraged environments, and that seems to be what played out here.

The total long liquidations reached levels not seen in several months, showing how crowded the bullish trade had become.

While this could reduce some sell-side pressure in the short term, as the most vulnerable positions have been cleared, it also reflects a shift in sentiment from bullish to defensive. With confidence shaken and many traders underwater, any rebound attempts might be met with selling pressure from participants eager to exit or short any lower high.

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